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Posted on Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 10:38 a.m.

Dan Persa on field for 4 quarters gives Northwestern its best shot against Michigan, Chicago Tribune writer says

By Kyle Meinke

The top concern of any opponent preparing for the Michigan football team is finding a way to slow Denard Robinson.

In our weekly Beat Writer Breakdown, Chicago Tribune sportswriter Teddy Greenstein says Northwestern may have a leg up in that area because the Wildcats have faced back-to-back running quarterbacks in Army’s Trent Steelman and Illinois’ Nate Scheelhaase.

Plus, Northwestern’s defense works against its own running quarterback, Kain Colter, in practice every day.

Of course, the Wildcats prefer that starting QB Dan Persa is healthy enough to start — and it appears he will be.

Q. Obviously, a lot will come down to the health of quarterback Dan Persa. He returned last week from a ruptured Achilles tendon, but left the game after aggravating the injury. How is Northwestern different with and without him?

TEDDYMUG2.jpg

Teddy Greenstein

Teddy Greenstein: Backup QB Kain Colter is basically Persa Jr. They’ve got similar size and both broke in as run-first QBs. Heading into last year, there were serious questions about whether Persa would be polished as a passer. Then he completed 73.5 percent of his throws, beat out Denard Robinson & Co. to make first-team all- Big Ten (in the coaches vote) and landed on billboards as part of Northwestern’s “Persa Strong” Heisman campaign.

NU coach Pat Fitzgerald said Persa ran well during a Monday workout and will be “ready to go” Saturday. It’s worth noting that Fitz has previously put overly positive spins on Persa’s condition. But by refraining from calling him “day to day,” Fitz really seems confident that Persa is fine.

With Persa playing, NU has a dynamic passing offense. With Colter, it’s a run-heavy spread with pass attempts sprinkled in.

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Q. What do you anticipate Northwestern will do to try to contain Denard Robinson?

TG: NU defenders are talking about staying in their lanes and not rushing too aggressively. They do have the advantage of having prepared for two straight rushing QBs -- Army’s Trent Steelman and Illinois’ Nate Scheelhaase. And they go up against Kolter every day in practice. But Denard is a different animal.

The Wildcats are averaging a respectable 4.1 yards per rush, so Saturday might not be a total train wreck.

Q. This is the Wolverines' first road game of the year, and it comes at a place where no current Michigan player has experience (last trip was 2007). Is that an advantage for Northwestern?

TG: Can’t hurt. Northwestern has played only one home game this year. The home comfort should help, but it’s not like visiting Ryan Field makes grown men cry. Last year the Wildcats lost at home -- at night -- to Purdue. It’ll be nice to see the place full, though. Normally all the seats aren’t taken unless Ohio State is in town.

DanPersaNorthwestern.jpg

Northwestern quarterback Dan Persa is expected to play against Michigan on Saturday.

Associated Press file photo

Q. Where on the field will be Michigan's biggest matchup disadvantage?

TG: I haven’t seen a ton of Michigan football this season, other than the Notre Dame game. Based on that, I’d say a healthy Persa could connect with his bevy of talented/underrated receivers. But looking at the stats, Michigan ranks fourth in the Big Ten in passing efficiency. Impressive. Then again, some of that did come against Minnesota.

Q. Northwestern had a fourth-quarter lead the last time Michigan played in Evanston, Ill., but the Wolverines prevailed with 21 unanswered second-half points. The Wildcats finish the job this time if ...

TG: Persa can make it through four quarters, and the Wildcats don’t give up any 50-plus yard plays.


Teddy Greenstein's prediction
It’s early in the week, so I’m reserving the right to change this pick ... or claim I was misquoted. My feeling is that Michigan is a bit overrated -- and probably overconfident after feasting on Gopher meat. Northwestern has lost two straight close games, a reversal of a hallmark of the program. OK, I’ll get to it already: Michigan 27, Northwestern 24.

Find Teddy Greenstein's work at the Chicago Tribune. Follow him on Twitter @TeddyGreenstein.

Kyle Meinke covers Michigan football for AnnArbor.com. He can be reached at 734-623-2588, by email at kylemeinke@annarbor.com and followed on Twitter @kmeinke.

Comments

Blu-dogg97

Thu, Oct 6, 2011 : 1:38 p.m.

Having my morning coffee,and listening to Pat Fitzgerald on a radio interview on BBL with Beketa & Ray Bentley.. Coach Pat said that Persa didn't miss a snap in practice this week,and is ready to go.Ray Bentley asked him what he thought about facing D-Rob on Saturday ,and he said " I wish we didn't have to" and he went on to say That Brady and Greg have their finger prints all over this Michigan defense,and he thought they are playing fundamentally sound defense. Coach Pat claims the game is sold out at Ryan stadium mostly from season ticket holders,not as many Michigan fans as past years,and thinks the Wildcats should take advantage of home field and crowd etc.. not word for word quotes here,but close.. GO BLUE..

chiro19

Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 8:15 p.m.

If you are going to make these claims about your team and Michigan then why make such a close prediction. If Persa is able to connect to his bevy of receivers and he is healthy to move well then NW should have no problem scoring right?! Atleast that is the presumptive idea behind these comments. So really your prediction should be 52-49 michigan. Which then leads to the real questions of the day. Is Persa as good as Carder, Rees, or Lindley? He is in the same class as them so he can throw the ball. Is his Oline as good as ND which has been the toughest Mich has seen so far? No, not even close. Are his receivers as good as WMU, or ND's receivers? No. Does Northwestern have a run game that Mich needs to be concerned about besides Persa? No he is done for the year. Is NW D good up front? Not horrible with ten sacks for the year. What is the scoring Defense for this team? They give up 24.3 per game. That does not fair well when those points are coming against really bad teams! There is one position that outmatches Michigan's personel and that is Persa throwing the ball. Everything else is really not even close. NW was up and amped for the Illi. game and is emotionally drained for the game coming up. If michigan is not focused and does not play the way they should then this game may be close. If they play the way they can then it will be over by half. Go Blue!

Blu-dogg97

Thu, Oct 6, 2011 : 1:27 p.m.

Chiro I voted for you, good post & research.. GO BLUE.

MRunner73

Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 9:41 p.m.

Very good comment. I like your perspective. ADVANTAGE: MICHIGAN!!! Yep, Northwestern has to be emotionally drained after the loss to IL.

GoblueinNE_PA

Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 5:03 p.m.

Teddy seems to forget that while NW has prepared for 2 running QB's in their last two games, they've also LOST those 2 games. NW is a good team and a better one with Persa at the helm, but this Michigan team feels a lot like the Michigan teams of old. I think they will go into Evanston and take care of business.

Tru2Blu76

Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 3:19 p.m.

Ultimately, any college team can beat any other college team on any given Saturday. I believe that paraphrases a quote of Vince Lombardi but it's true. Of course, Wolverine fans (like me) will be running on confidence in the Wolverines' coaches and (so far) achievement-oriented players. The reality this season is that every single game is a test of the revived Wolverines. Go Blue! Personally, I hope Northwestern is going to give Michigan a real challenge. It's time: the Wolverines are now in the conference play portion of this season. On the positive side, I think Michigan is ready and have no doubt about Hoke's ability to prime his team for a real effort.

Lorain Steelmen

Fri, Oct 7, 2011 : 4:13 p.m.

Tru2 & Don, I agree with both of you. I DO think, with Persa back, the Cats will be a challenge. I have great respect for Hoke as well as Firtzgerald. With the Chicago marathon, this weekend, I didn't even try to get a room, and will watch from my living room instead. I like our chances, but every game will be tough the rest of the way. They ARE young, but their 'attitude' seems to be excellent. My biggest concern going forward is injures...we're thin, as you both know. I have a buddie, who definitely believes it is better to stay on the field, ie) a bye week hurts ya.. I think think, the opposite, that the extra week HELPS the Spartans prepare, particiularly since this is 'Dantonio's bowl game' every year. (and because the Spartan offense labored terribly vs osu) For UM, Northwestern, is on the coaches, while msu is on the kids. I think you know what I mean. Togehter we'll know a lot more about this team by the evening of the 15th. .....Goooooo big Blue!

DonAZ

Wed, Oct 5, 2011 : 4:25 p.m.

Very true ... all it takes are some ill-timed mistakes like fumbles or penalties and a game can turn around quickly. And like you, I'd like to see a good test ... we'll need it for a rested MSU team the week following. Agree also with your comment about Hoke. I admire the man. A lot.