Ann Arbor housing market heats up as first-time homebuyers try to beat tax-credit deadline
Bidding wars. Crowded driveways as agents and prospective buyers line up to see a new listing. Offers made within minutes of a showing.
Those characteristics of a heated real estate market aren’t just a memory from 2004: It’s reality in the sub-$170,000 housing markets across Washtenaw County.
The frenzy is fueled by the closing window of this year’s $8,000 federal tax credit for first-time home-buyers.
As a result, the hottest segment of the market is the homes priced for first-time buyers - and with fewer listings on the market, that means more buyers for a shrinking pool of properties.
“The panic has begun,” said Alex Milshteyn of Edward Surovell Realtors. “Every offer is a multiple offer right now.”
Buyers, Milshteyn said, “are saying: Are we ever going to find anything?”
How much the tax credit is driving overall market activity has not been tracked.
Anecdotally, agents say that the tax-credit shoppers are flooding the lower end of the market - and other buyers are following along, even if they don’t qualify for the tax credit.
That flood is particularly acute among foreclosures of newer construction where the banks are pricing the properties below market rates.
Trying to Buy a House Casey White, left, and Chandler Lehman, center, started the home search in early September with their Realtor realtor Caitlin Phillips, right. Weeks later, they’ve lost out on several offers after getting into bidding wars.
Realtor listings priced at $170,000 or less as of Sept. 30 Ann Arbor houses:
• 56 active listings. First time home buyer tax credit • Up to $8,000 for qualified buyers of a personal residence. |
Some of those homes are seeing “seven to 15 offers per listing,” said Caitlin Phillips of Prudential Snyder & Co. “That, in my opinion, is the first-time buyer credit.”
Data from the Ann Arbor Area Board of Realtors shows that in two of the most active communities - Ann Arbor and the Lincoln Consolidated Schools, south of Ypsilanti - the pending contracts as of Sept. 30 for homes under $170,000 represented about 40 percent of all pending deals.
Across the U.S., about 1.4 million home purchases have been made with the tax credit, according to mid-September data from the IRS.
At the Ann Arbor office of Real Estate One, 86 deals have closed for first-time home-buyers using the tax credit - eventually refunding them a combined total of $627,405.36, said Amanda Lawrence, loan officer for REO’s affiliate John Adams Mortgage.
“A significant amount of the people we’re working with right now do qualify (for the tax credit),” she said.
Among them are four couples that agent Brian Bundesen represents.
Of those four, “one has a pending offer and the second is close to making one but is in a multiple offer situation.”
The other two, he said, “are just getting started.”
On the buyer end, the $8,000 tax credit just enhances an already attractive market: The buyer of a $120,000 home purchased with a 30-year mortgage at an interest rate of 5.10 percent - with 5 percent down payment - would pay just over $600 per month in principal and interest. Add about $300 per month in taxes, and the monthly payment rivals a two-bedroom rental.
“The tax credit is giving people extra incentive (on)
properties that are vastly discounted from three years ago,” said Nate Foerg of the Charles Reinhart Co. “It’s doing what it’s intended to do.”
Phillips - who had seven offers accepted for tax-credit buyers in the last week of September - said many parents are helping adult children with the down payment, knowing that they can pay back the loan once they receive the tax credit.
But to get the credit, buyers need to find the deal.
And the deals, agents said, have been hard-fought in recent weeks.
Milshteyn said he has four clients with pending offers -and each offer is part of a multiple offer scenario.
“All four also are above list price,” he said. One recent deal closed at 15 percent above list price, he added.
First-time buyers, who may have come to the market with last-year’s impressions of continually falling prices and inventory gluts, are shocked.
“They keep saying this is supposed to be a buyers’ market,” Milshteyn said.
He tells them it still is: “They’re still buying a fairly nice house for a low amount of money."
Advice for first-time buyers who are thinking they still have time brings some caution from local agents.
Write the cleanest offer possible, they said. Aim for zero contingencies.
Going over list price won’t hurt.
Agents also know that inventory is unpredictable and the scoring the perfect house with a seamless deal is always a possibility. And they won’t turn a prospective buyer away.
“But if you’re starting today,” Bundesen said, “it’s almost too late to do it comfortably.”
Now Realtors are waiting to see if Congress extends the tax credit program beyond Nov. 30.
Agents say they hope it remains in place.
Foerg said he’d like to see the price cap raised to at least $250,000, or the limits extended beyond just first-time buyers.
But if there’s a change, they don’t want it to happen too soon.
“If they say they’re going to continue it today,” said Dawn Foerg, also of Reinhart, “all of the urgency is gone.”
Paula Gardner is business news director at AnnArbor.com. Contact her at (734) 623-2586 or by email. Sign up for the weekly Business Review email newsletter, published every Thursday, here.
Comments
Jon Boyd Ann Arbor Exclusive Buyer's Agent
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 1:53 p.m.
The snapshot of data presented here is mis-leading. This is typical of the REALTOR organization and it is important to recognize all the REALTORs quoted work for companies who work to get the seller the highest price and terms. It is true that there is more activity than is usual for fall in a down economic market, but the Board of REALTORs data shows that only about 15% of the entry level homes currently being marketed are under contract. In the spring in an up year the figure is often above 25%. So even thought the market is active, it is not nearly as active as it has been in the past, and, buyers should not assume they need to offer fulll price on any particular home. Buyers should judge each home by its value and not assume the list price reflects that.
Macabre Sunset
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 1:08 p.m.
Ah yes, another artificial prop for our failing economy. Why can't we just work on underlying economic problems instead of desperately trying to preserve the status quo with band-aids? When the program ends, home sales will drop again. Just like car sales are dropping now that the cash-for-clunkers handout has ended.
Jim Dries
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 10:21 a.m.
Excellent article Paula.
Kelly Tinsley
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 10:03 a.m.
great article! Alex is our realtor and we love him!...my fiance and I are part of the ranks looking for a home in ann arbor before the deadline.... it is definitely tough!!
CaitlinPhillips
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 9:38 a.m.
This is great info A2.com! Thanks for keeping the consumer aware!
Theresa Taylor
Thu, Oct 1, 2009 : 7:43 a.m.
Fantastic article! The YouTube video is not working...